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As a REALTOR® I help clients maximize the value of their homes beginning with the purchase, during ownership, and finally with the sale of the home. This blog is one of the methods I use to deliver enhanced value.
The Roberts Team with Long and Foster
Mobile: 301-873-2106
Office: 301-424-0900

Tuesday, February 21, 2023

News you can use - Boomer Foster Feb 20, 2023

Hello friends,

Hot off the press, we have a new edition of News You Can Use with Boomer Foster. Boomer Foster is the President of General Brokerage of Long & Foster Real Estate. Here is his take on the financial news from last week. As usual, the transcript is below the video. I hope this is useful to you.

Good afternoon, everyone! 

Last week on Wall Street was a bit of a mixed bag as investors are struggling with stronger-than-expected economic data that has been coming out lately. We spoke about the jobs numbers last week, and the January CPI report just revealed that inflation is up 6.4% year over year and up .5% month over month. This isn’t giving investors much hope that the Fed will start to become more dovish in the coming months. Obviously, the situation is fluid, and more information will come out that will affect the Fed’s decisions to hike rates further. On Wednesday, the Fed will release the minutes from its last meeting, which will reveal more of their ultimate intentions. The Existing Home Sales report will come out tomorrow, and then preliminary GDP sales will be released on Thursday, which will give us a clearer picture of the state of the economy. 30-year fixed rates went up for the second week in a row, from 6.12% to 6.32%. 


In our industry, most major indicators are down year over year, but the big issue that we’re facing is that demand is outpacing supply, with showing activity only down 18% from a very busy February of last year. 



Saturday, February 18, 2023

Appreciation of Real Estate

In my previous article, we talked about how owning real estate is a major component of increasing family wealth. In this article I want to address the growth in residential real estate value. Just like the stock market, we tend to be aware of whether prices are increasing or decreasing. It takes an effort to research the long-term trends.  However, I want to make you aware just how much real estate has appreciated in value over the last 20 or 30 years. It's very similar to the stock market. If we look at a graph of how the stock market has changed over the last week, month, or the last quarter you may see a lot of volatility and instability. However, if you look at that same information but over 30-year time span, you will see a persistent trend in the increase in value of the stock market, and generally individual stocks.

Similarly, if you looked at the short-term trends in the value of residential real estate, you may get a misinterpretation of what is really happening over the long term. Just like the stock market, if you look at the long-term value of real estate you will also see a trend of increasing value.

I'd like to show you this with two graphs for our own area; the Frederick-Gaithersburg-Rockville Maryland area. This information was put together by the Federal Housing Finance Agency.

The graph to the right shows an upward trend over the last 20 years where the increase in value of
residential real estate has gone up 149.4%. Yes indeed, there were periods where there is a decrease in value, and to be honest, became a real problem for many people. However, those who able to stick it out, were handsomely rewarded.

 To the left, the graph shows similar information, in a slightly different format and over 30 years. As you can see there is some volatility over the years but on average there's an annual appreciation of 4.4% in the area that we live in.

Financial advisors used to frequently use the metaphor of a four-legged table to build a financially stable wealth plan. One of those legs was and still is Real Estate. As your assets increase, you do want to spread them or diversify them to build additional stability. Consulting a certified Financial Advisor to build a strong plan is essential.*

Another way to grasp the concept, long-term appreciation is like being paid interest on a bank account of someone else’s money; the home was bought with a lender’s money. Nevertheless, the homeowner retains the new equity (value) of the property.

Residential real estate is an excellent way to begin working toward building wealth for your family. It is well worth the effort to get skin in this game for the health and prosperity of our families. If you are preparing to purchase your first home, now may be the time to make the requisite sacrifices to get there. Work that extra job, sleep in your parent’s basement, have a smaller wedding, drive used cars, etc. Getting trapped in the rental cycle can be difficult to recover from.

* I am not a Financial Advisor, I am licensed to help people buy and sell Real Estate.  Consulting a certified Financial Advisor to confirm this information and to build a sound financial plan is advisable and highly recommended.

 

Tuesday, January 31, 2023

News you can use Jan 30, 2023 - Boomer Foster

 Hello friends,

I have great news. Boomer Foster, President, General Brokerage at Long & Foster Real Estate does a weekly video of  Real Estate industry news, particularly the financial / market news. In the past, he has mixed that information with in-house news and events, which would be of no interest to the general public. He has now decided to have his video edited so that there is a video suitable to share with you.

Boomer is a straight talker and is interesting to listen to. He has a very high level, but in depth perspective of the market and industry. The videos are generally a short 4-6 minutes. Since I believe these could be very useful to many of you, I am going to try to post them here every week for your edification. 

Here is this weeks video, with a transcript below.

Enjoy.

Transcript:


Good afternoon, everyone! 


Last week was a big one on Wall Street. The Dow, NASDAQ, and S&P were all up due to solid economic growth as well as a better-than-expected GDP from the 4th quarter of last year. The big news that we’re keeping an eye on this week is the Fed’s February meeting and whatever announced raise they have in mind for the Federal Funds rate. Most economists agree that they’ll probably raise it 25 basis points. 30-year fixed rates were down slightly, from 6.15% to 6.13%. The good news about where we are with mortgage rates is that consumers have gotten used to the new normal and, in the grand scheme, rates are lower than historical averages. There’s been a significant change in buyer activity and consumers are back to buying again. The big challenge is still inventory. 


In our industry, we’re starting to see pending sales pick up again, down 18.8% year over year, but up 5.2% week over week. So, we’re beginning to see movement in the right direction. Inventory is up 60% from the same time last year, but only because not as many homes are coming off the market. The big news in our industry is that a federal court ended the DOJ inquiry into the Clear Cooperation policy. The reason that’s big news is that the agreement that was in place under the previous administration is back in effect, which is good news. 


Thursday, January 26, 2023

2023 Predictions Real Estate with Boomer Foster

One of the advantages of Working with Long and Foster is that the president of the Brokerage is a great communicator as well as good with the numbers. Boomer talks frequently about what is going on in the industry, and todays post is showcasing what he does best. For your edification, here is a short video of Long and Fosters Real Talk with Boomer providing his predictions for the 2023 Real Estate Market. Below the video, is a brief list of main points.


Boomers Main points

  • Market will be dependent on FED Policy
  • Mortgage rates 6.5 – 7%
  • Inventory – there will be more inventory, but primarily due to longer Days on Market
  • Home Values – Still near peak or close to it or moderate decrease
  • While Real Estate is a hedge against inflation, investors will not be as active
  • Consumer confidence – at or near all time low right now, but may improve later in the year

Planning to buy or sell

Buyer

  • if you can get qualified of a loan – good time to buy, not as much competition
  • Will pay a fair price - no longer a sellers Marker
  • Good time to buy

Seller 

  • Prices still at or near high for homes
  • Demand still outpaces supply, keeping prices stable

Long and Foster will not only survive, but thrive. We have been in business for 54 years and is the most financial stable Real Estate Company in the industry. We have been through all types of markets and know how to do well, regardless of the market. 

I would love to hear your feedback, please tell me what you think in the comments or reach out to me at or BReynolds@LNF.com.

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